MANIFOLD
First model series to cross 1500 on lmarena.ai?
40
Ṁ675Ṁ6.7k
Apr 1
50%
Gemini 3.5
13%
Grok 4.2
11%
Other
10%
Gemini 3.0
5%
GPT-5.5
2%
GPT-6
1.6%
Deepseek v4
1.5%
Grok 4.5

Exactly 1 options resolves yes (unless same exact release date, then split evenly)

(or similar) means anything that is in between 4.0 and 4.5 (for 4.1) or between 2.5 and 3.0 (for 2.7)

includes mini or pro versions

Will resolve if a model stays at or above 1500 for a week and has a 95% CI with a lower bound of at least 1495 at the end of that week (somewhat arbitrary criteria to ensure the score is based on a sufficient amount of votes)

Will N/A if they change the scoring significantly so that a current model passes 1500.

Source:

https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text

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boughtṀ262 NO

How can we be that certain 5.2 won’t cross 1500?

I saw the webdev score and was trying to extrapolate

But wasn’t that certain,

Grok 4 only 1433 probably too many Hitler references

grok 4.2 pls

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