Will resolve as YES if at least four of the following types of sanctions are significantly eased sometimes before 2026:

1. Financial Sector Sanctions
2. Energy Sector Sanctions
3. Defense and Technology Export Controls
4. Individual and Entity Sanctions
5. Other Sectoral Sanctions (e.g. metals, mining, aerospace and marine)
6. Import and Export Bans (e.g. on luxury goods)
7. Diplomatic Measures (e.g. visa restrictions)

I will not bet on this market.