Which country will have the highest GDP per capita in 2030?
Which country will have the highest GDP per capita in 2030?
14
1kṀ5442030
11%
Luxembourg
11%
Republic of Ireland
10%
Liechtenstein
9%
9%
Monaco
8%
Bermuda
8%
Singapore
7%
Norway
7%
Switzerland
5%
Qatar
3%
Poland
3%
Estonia
3%
South Korea
3%
America
2%
United Arab Emirates
1.3%
India
Resolves to the country with the highest nominal GDP per capita in 2030.
Feel free to add more countries. I will do so once I have more Mana.
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Current data from World Bank:
Country Most Recent Year Most Recent Value
Monaco 2021 234,317.1
Liechtenstein 2021 184,083.3
Luxembourg 2022 126,426.1
Bermuda 2022 118,845.6
Norway 2022 106,148.8
Ireland 2022 104,038.9
Switzerland 2022 92,101.5
Cayman Islands 2021 88,475.6
Qatar 2022 88,046.3
Singapore 2022 82,807.6
@PeanutCookieFantaCheesyPa I will use the World Bank if I assess them to be credible in 2030. Otherwise I will use my judgement to find a credible source
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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