Will 50%+ of the content in my work emails be written by AI by end of 2025?
Will 50%+ of the content in my work emails be written by AI by end of 2025?
19
1kṀ12452026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Encompasses holistic workload for email-writing. If an AI writes a draft and I re-write over 50% of it, that wouldn't count.
For context, I work in finance in a very niche industry (the private equity secondaries market).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
predictedNO 1y
@CarsonGale have you tried AI for email writing?
(I don’t think ChatGPT is up to snuff at all for this task, but I’m not familiar with the many other language models now out there.)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?
16% chance
Will >50% of Fortune 500 global managers report regularly using generative AI for work by June 30, 2025?
40% chance
Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will an AI write anything that interests me enough to want to keep reading it by June 2025?
11% chance
Will an AI system capable of doing 50% of knowledge job arrive by 2027?
41% chance
Will AI write 75%+ of social media view-generating posts (default to Twitter) by EOY 2026?
8% chance
Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2050?
52% chance
Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2030?
8% chance
When will most emails be proofread by AI?
2032
By 2030, will over 50% of software development projects be primarily created by AI, with minimal human coding?
56% chance