MANIFOLD
Chatbot Arena - top 3 labs EOY 2024
52
Ṁ1.4kṀ14k
resolved Jan 1
50%49%
Google
30%29%
OpenAI
20%17%
Deepseek
0.4%
Anthropic
3%
Meta
0.0%
Inflection
0.1%
Mistral
0.1%
01.ai
0.0%
ChatGLM
0.1%
Alibaba
1.3%
xAI
0.4%Other

https://chat.lmsys.org/

Resolves to:
1st: 50%

2nd: 30%

3rd: 20%

Based on ELO rankings, only top score for each lab counts.
With apologies the the open-source community, tuned models will resolve to the underlying base model.

For example, below (leaderboard as of Nov 2023) would resolve
OpenAI 50%, Anthropic 30%, Meta 20%


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@SnoozingNewt note that the 1st ranked will only resolve to 50% 😬

@CalebW I have more than an entire year, and I'm betting that I won't really care around then haha

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