Will the average bidding price for this question be more than 120 mana?
Will the average bidding price for this question be more than 120 mana?
31
100Ṁ1709
May 16
70%
chance

The average is calculated by taking the average mana per person spent on this question (either yes or no)

  • Update 2025-03-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:

    • Average Type: Arithmetic mean

    • Trade Adjustments: In cases where a participant sells, their net mana spent is used for the calculation

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opened a Ṁ2 YES at 70% order23d

So the arithmetic mean of the values behind "Spent" in the "Holders" tab?

23d

@4fa yes

23d

Couldn’t I just bet big right now and make you resolve yes? What is the time frame?

bought Ṁ10 NO24d

When does this resolve?

23d

@xxxNFT_GODxxx @BryantYu This is important since I could just bet big and ask you to resolve

23d

@xxxNFT_GODxxx resolves at may 16

What form of average? Mean? How does the math work if someone sells old trades?

24d

@MingCat yes arithmetic mean

if someone sells, their net mana spent will be used

20d

@BryantYu what if someone repeatedly buys and sells?

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