Who will be Prime Minister of Canada after Justin Trudeau?
Basic
32
Ṁ4656
2026
41%
Other
39%
Mark Carney
16%
Chrystia Freeland
3%
Pierre Poilievre

  • Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:

    • The market will resolve to the person who becomes Prime Minister after Justin Trudeau, regardless of whether it is through resignation or a new election.

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@BoltonBailey Justin Trudeau is set to resign before an election and be replaced by another Liberal as PM. That PM would count as a YES for this question, correct?

@cash Yes, this market says nothing about the PM having to come about as a result of a new election. If Trudeau resigns and a new person becomes Prime Minister, this market will resolve to that person.

Market says nothing about interim PMs not counting, so if Trudeau resigns a Liberal would take office before Polievre.

ShkeonkboughtṀ10 YES

@Shkeonk Wasting mana here too wow

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