Manifold removes ambiguous date warning by 2027-01-01? | Manifold

Manifold removes ambiguous date warning by 2027-01-01?

5

Ṁ100Ṁ166

Dec 31

83%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

When drafting this very market, I got the following suggestion:

On 2027-01-01 I will go to Manifold's market creation page to make a very similar market to this one, referencing the date 2028-01-01 instead of 2027-01-01.

This market resolves NO if, when I do this, a message like the one above shows up. Otherwise, if no warning shows up (or only a warning about something else), this resolves YES.

Market context

Manifold Features

Manifold Business Future

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the world mostly converge on a single date format before 31/29/30?

Will numbers be unambiguous before 2045?

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?

Conditional on another positive leap second by end of 2035, will it cause any bugs on Manifold?

How many Manifold markets will close on January 1st, 2030?

Manifold has another database rollback by EOY 2029?

Manifold announces domain change to manifold.com before August 24, 2027

Sort by:

Wait, so it resolves NO if they do make that change but resolves YES if they don't make the change?

@BlackCrusade It resolves YES if a change is made. It resolves NO if no change is made (i.e. the message still shows up).

(Probably should have phrased the title and resolution criteria in a more positive way, but I think they both say the same thing.)

@BoltonBailey I am just going to rewrite it to make clear that I will test this out.

bought Ṁ100 YES

Give claude this market’s link with no context and time it

People are also trading

Will the world mostly converge on a single date format before 31/29/30?

Will numbers be unambiguous before 2045?

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?

Conditional on another positive leap second by end of 2035, will it cause any bugs on Manifold?

How many Manifold markets will close on January 1st, 2030?

Manifold has another database rollback by EOY 2029?

Manifold announces domain change to manifold.com before August 24, 2027

Related questions

Will the world mostly converge on a single date format before 31/29/30?

Will numbers be unambiguous before 2045?

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?

Conditional on another positive leap second by end of 2035, will it cause any bugs on Manifold?

How many Manifold markets will close on January 1st, 2030?

Manifold has another database rollback by EOY 2029?

Manifold announces domain change to manifold.com before August 24, 2027

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy