Background

The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is a federal initiative established by the Trump administration to identify and eliminate wasteful government spending. DOGE has made several claims about the amount of money it has saved:

• Initially reported saving $55 billion, though this figure was later disputed due to accounting errors

• By February 27, 2025, claimed to have saved $65 billion in federal funds

• As of March 4, 2025, DOGE's website states they have saved $105 billion

However, verification of these claims has been challenging. DOGE has only provided records for a fraction of the claimed savings, and some earlier claims have been revised or deleted from their website.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the final official figure that DOGE reports as their total savings generated when they complete their work or issue a final report. The figure will be taken from:

1. The official DOGE website (doge.gov)

2. An official press release or report from DOGE

3. A statement from the administration that explicitly states the final savings figure

If DOGE is disbanded or discontinued without issuing a final savings figure, this market will resolve based on the last officially claimed savings figure published on their website or in official communications.

Considerations

• DOGE's reported savings figures have increased significantly over time and have faced scrutiny regarding their accuracy

• The timeline for when DOGE will issue a "final" figure is uncertain

• There may be discrepancies between what DOGE claims to have saved and what independent analysts or government watchdogs verify

• The methodology for calculating savings may change over time, potentially affecting the final reported figure