MANIFOLD
How many people attended Burning Man in 2024?
32
Ṁ1kṀ18k
resolved Jul 19
Resolved
NO
< 70,000 (eg lowest since 2014)
Resolved
YES
>= 70,000 (eg at least 2015-2018 numbers)
Resolved
YES
< 80,000 (eg fewer than in 2019)
Resolved
NO
>= 80,000 (back to 2019 levels or higher)

Independent options, have fun with arbitrage!

Resolved based on https://blackrockcitycensus.org/

when the final report comes out; will close or extend the market accordingly.

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bought Ṁ1,250 YES

@BlueDragon @strutheo BRC Census report dropped today.

72,000

do we know yet?

@strutheo we don’t! Which is not at all what I expected…

bought Ṁ500 YES

I think it’ll be close to 70,000

@snazzlePop

72,000

TV gif. Jon Stewart on the Daily Show spins in his chair at his onstage desk, yelling, "Boom!"

reposted

It’s a wrap.

What do you think, did SF empty out as usual?

Get your bets in before the census numbers come out.

@BlueDragon South Bay traffic was awful in the past week. Use that datum as you will

sold Ṁ0 NO

If the count is exactly 80,000, do both "< 80,000" and "> 80,000" resolve no? Can we adjust one to be inclusive?

Sure, good point. I can adjust to

>=70,000

>= 80,000

Seem right @traders ?

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