MANIFOLD
How many hectares will burn in forest fires in Canada during 2026?
6
Ṁ1.8kṀ1.3k
Nov 28
5.5 Million Hectares
expected
10%
0 - 0.99
18%
1 - 1.99
11%
2 - 2.99
11%
3 - 3.99
9%
4 - 4.99
14%
5 - 5.99
5%
6 - 7.50
5%
7.51 - 8.99
5%
9 - 11.99
5%
12 - 14.99
5%
15 - 18.496
3%
Above 18.496

I will not trade on this market.

This question will resolve based on the report provided by ciffc.net for the date of December 31, 2026.

In the event that ciffc.net does not provide a report or is no longer functioning on this date, this question will resolve based on reputable news reports and/or government agency reporting from the US and/or Canada.

This question will close on November 28, 2026 in order to prevent last minute trading based on the probable outcome.

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@traders 1.0 Hectares reached as of January 16.

@mods How come I can't add annotations to this market?

might be a binary markets thing only? not usre

@Bayesian That's really too bad, on my last Forest Fire market it was very nice to be able to do.

As of January 13th we are at 0.6 hectares burned.

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