This question resolves YES if, at some time in the next few millenia, I am extremely confident to be immortal: (1) won't expect to die, and (2) won't expect entropy to be an issue in 10**100 years, etc.
If I die, or if the time runs out without any inkling of how this could even resolve positively, I'll resolve this question to NO.
Quantum immortality doesn't count.
1,000People are also trading
Can you say what you mean by "I", that is, what identity theory/preference/other term are you using here? Body, psychological continuity, genes, consciousness, etc etc? Does it count if you're delusional?
@Jotto999 Joke answer: if I die, I’ll have bigger worries.
Real answer: I thereby pronounce any manifold admin allowed to resolve this market negatively if they estimate a >95% chance that I am dead.
@BionicD0LPH1N Okay, but will they actually do that? How do I, as a random forecaster, know that they'll do that?
@Jotto999 how about asking them on their policy for resolving markets with absent creator?
@Lavander I tried a cursory search. Sure, each individual forecaster could go manually ask them. But ideally it should be obvious in the question itself.
@Jotto999 Ah, here is the page where they lay it out:
https://help.manifold.markets/unresolved-markets
