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Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?
65
Ṁ5kṀ17k
Jun 30
12%
chance
70

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Recently however there have been efforts to block the certification. This will resolve Yes if the election is certified by June 30th or before. It will resolve yes even if the maps are blocked as long as the election is certified.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Virginia_redistricting_amendment

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Bill, it looks like I picked the wrong direction when I randomly bought a few shares. I'm blaming you for this.

@prismatic too soon. We need to see if this goes to the supreme court, or if they try to certify anyway. This is about certification not the maps.

@BillClintonBubba still not clear about definition for certification vs maps, can they try to certify despite court ruling against them?

@Mochi they can certainly try. They will try something. Low chance of success but not zero.

Zero price discovery lol. Odds went from 85% to 82% back to 85%.

Come on I need an answer!

@BillClintonBubba maybe the other traders are just like me. I have absolutely no idea what any of this means and I just randomly bought a few mana in one direction.

@Eliza The election will either be certified or it won't be, so 50:50.

@HillaryClinton Couldn't have said it better myself.

bought Ṁ5 YES

I haven't the slightest idea, Bill. Thanks for asking, though.

reposted

i doubt the courts will block it