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MANIFOLD
Will SpaceX valuation drop by -50% or more from its ATH?
23
Ṁ1kṀ2.7k
2027
48%
chance
3

Resolves Yes if SpaceX drops 50% or more from it's ATH, within one year of IPO. Currently that is $228.74 on Hyperliquid, https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:SPCX. So this would resolve Yes, if it falls to $114.37. This calculation will change if SpaceX reaches new ATHs. If Hyperliquid is not available, Binance will be used.

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Why Hyperliquid / Binance, rather than Nasdaq?

@EvanDaniel To take into account overnight trading prices.