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MANIFOLD
Will Roy Cooper win by 4 points or more?
9
Ṁ1kṀ709
Nov 3
70%
chance

Resolves yes if Roy Cooper wins the 2026 North Carolina Senate race by 4% or more, and resolves no otherwise. The certified results will resolve this question, but I may resolve this soon after election day if resolution is obvious. I will use the New York times results page as the source for this.

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opened a Ṁ6,000 YES at 68% order

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