Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats Gemini 3.0 Pro's?
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Ṁ1kṀ18kresolved Feb 3
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The 50% time horizon will be used to resolve this market. Ties resolve no.
Update: the first evaluation of Gemini 3 pro will be used to resolve this market (be that Gemini 3 pro preview or simply Gemini 3 pro)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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If neither model is released or evaluated before December 31, 2025; because the measured time horizon for the models exceeds a human lifespan?
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