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MANIFOLD
Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027?
34
Ṁ1kṀ6.6k
2027
6%
chance

Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":

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boughtṀ250NO

@polymathematic i'll bet more at 9% if you want

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 49% order

@Bayesian like you want to buy yes at 9 or no?

@Bayesian lol. I'm good with my limit orders as it. I have a vague sense that the probability should be low, but I don't have any special insight into how low.