Which Benchmarks will OpenAI show results from GPT-5 on, when it is announced?
15
1.1kṀ31822026
94%
SimpleQA
87%
SWE-Bench
83%
GPQA
71%
HumanEval
67%
ARC-AGI-2
48%
MMLU
38%
MATH
35%
Big-Bench-Hard
31%
MGSM
19%
DROP
8%
GSM8K
Some flexibility on variations of specific benchmarks. eg SWE-Bench-Hard would resolve SWE-Bench YES.
Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The benchmarks must be those that GPT-5 is benchmarked against by OpenAI.
Must be on roughly the same day / during / around the time of the announcement. If there are several announcements over multiple days, all those times are acceptable for the purpose of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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