MANIFOLD
Which AI lab releases an LLM in October?
36
Ṁ1kṀ9.6k
resolved Nov 2
Resolved
YES
OpenAI
Resolved
YES
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
DeepSeek
Resolved
YES
Alibaba Qwen
Resolved
YES
Moonshot
Resolved
YES
Z.ai
Resolved
NO
Google DeepMind
Resolved
NO
xAI
Resolved
NO
Meta SuperIntelligence
Resolved
NO
Nvidia

Definitions for "release" and "in" can be found at Frequent Market Terms' Recommended Definitions

"new" LLM = Either announced by the company as a new model, is clear from numbering/naming (counts api renaming) it is a distinct model, or able to be selected from some menu as a distinct model.

Example: Gemini 2.5 flash 09-25 would count, for September, as a new GDM release.

LLM = A generative AI model that is able to understand and generate some human language(s)

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ990
2Ṁ198
3Ṁ143
4Ṁ136
5Ṁ71
Sort by:

no november ver. ? :(

bought Ṁ200 YES
bought Ṁ400 YES
bought Ṁ750 YES

@Bayesian is there anything holding off the resolution? i can make the argument for YES if needed

@256 no but what did in the moment is i wasn't sure it met the LLM criterion in the description

bought Ṁ500 YES
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy