Humanity’s Last Exam lists grok 4 at 45%+?
27
1kṀ2838Jul 12
35%
chance
15
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the first HLE score for grok 4 reasoning (or if multiple are released at once, the highest), unless it is a month+ after grok 4 release, will it show up on
https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam
As a score of 45% or more, after rounding, for the reasoning version of grok 4?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?
50.6
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2028?
80% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2027?
66% chance
What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 80% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 90% by what year?
When will humanity's last exam be saturated? (>80%)
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 70% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2029?
91% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 60% by what year?