MANIFOLD
GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date
27
Ṁ1.2kṀ4.3k
Dec 31
5%
Before March 2026
17%
Before April 2026
28%
Before May 2026
35%
Before June 2026
47%
Before July 2026
55%
Before August 2026
64%
Before September 2026
70%
Before October 2026
76%
Before November 2026
82%
Before December 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as using "GPT 5.5 mini" or "GPT-5.5 high" instead of "GPT 5.5", are acceptable when determining the release. Also, any major iteration of OpenAI models clearly expected to go beyond "GPT 5.4" counts. eg. "GPT 5.6" counts if they skip over GPT 5.5. GPT 5.4 or GPT 5.3 do NOT count.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some members of the public outside OpenAI (a closed beta doesn't count). If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/grok-42-xai-release

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/gemini-35-google-release-date

/Bayesian/gemini-40-google-release-date

/Bayesian/gpt-53-openai-release-date

/Bayesian/gpt55-openai-release-date (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/claude-46-anthropic-release-date

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-moonshot-release-kimi-k3

/Bayesian/glm-5-zai-release-date

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

/Bayesian/veo-4-google-release-date

/Bayesian/new-image-video-mango-model-meta-re

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OpenAI said that the next model they will release is GPT 5.3. Though I agree that the market should not resolve yes.

Would 5.3 count? Doesn't look like there is a similar market for potential releases between 5.2 and 5.5.

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