Will the next openAI model available on chatgpt.com have a stupid fucking name?
Existing models available:
GPT-4o
o3
o4-mini
o4-mini-high
GPT-4.5
GPT-4.1
GPT-4.1-mini
Will the next model have a stupid fucking name?
Potential stupid fucking names:
GPT-4.6-mini
o4-mini-super
GPT-MAX
Names I don't consider stupid:
o5
GPT-5
I will not be betting on this market. I will extend if no new models show up. If multiple models are released at the same time, I will resolve NA.
Plus tier accessible models only.
Update 2025-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that o3-pro is considered a stupid fucking name.
Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that GPT-25 is considered a stupid fucking name.
Update 2025-06-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will resolve based on a new model appearing on their own ChatGPT.com Plus tier account.
Update 2025-06-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarified the market's N/A condition regarding 'multiple models released at the same time':
'At the same time' specifically means multiple new models appearing simultaneously when the creator loads their own Plus tier account.
Models released on the same day but not appearing as simultaneously new to the creator upon checking do not automatically trigger an N/A resolution.
In a scenario where a model with a 'stupid fucking name' and a non-stupid model are released on the same day (but not observed as simultaneously new by the creator), if the 'stupid fucking name' model is the 'next' one identified, the market would resolve YES.
^^^simultaneously = a reasonable like one hour period where webcache could be excuse instead
Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that GPT-5o is considered a stupid fucking name.
Update 2025-07-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to 'ChatGPT agent' being raised as a potential candidate, the creator emphasized the criterion that the model must be 'available on chatgpt.com', implying this is a key factor in determining if 'ChatGPT agent' qualifies for resolution.
Update 2025-07-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to questions about 'ChatGPT agent', the creator clarified the criteria for a 'model available on chatgpt.com':
An entity that is only listed as a tool (like 'deep research') will not be considered a 'model' and will not trigger this market's resolution.
If 'ChatGPT agent' is only available as a tool, it will not be considered for resolution.
Update 2025-07-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question about 'GPT Agent', the creator has stated it is not considered a stupid fucking name.
The reasoning is that 'Agent' is a descriptive term that "makes sense," unlike a name like GPT MAX, which is considered stupid.
Update 2025-08-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has reinforced that multiple models released simultaneously will result in N/A resolution regardless of their names. This applies even if all the simultaneously released models have non-stupid names - the market will still resolve to N/A if multiple models are released at the same time.
Update 2025-08-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarified the timing threshold for N/A resolution due to multiple models:
If two models are available at the same time, the market resolves N/A
If one model is available in the morning and another in the evening of the same day, this would NOT trigger N/A resolution
This suggests a more specific timeframe than "same day" is required for the multiple model N/A condition
Update 2025-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that GPT-5 Pro is not being counted because it's not plus tier accessible. The creator is currently researching whether GPT-5 and GPT-5 Thinking should be considered the same model (with one having thinking mode turned on) or separate models, which will affect the resolution.
Update 2025-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has resolved this market to N/A after determining that both GPT-5 and GPT-5 Thinking were released simultaneously, triggering the multiple models condition outlined in the market description.
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@Bandors @Gabrielle Resolution was honest, but i don't get why you could've picked a random model with @FairlyRandom or something and decided if its name was fucking stupid.
@realDonaldTrump I agree that that would have been a better market, or something else like "the most notable model"
@Bandors I am not counting GPT-5 Pro because it's not plus tier, so that gives us GPT-5 and GPT-5 Thinking, but this is the first time there's a space right there! So is it the same model, and one just has thinking mode turned on? I will do some research. Give me a bit, I just woke up!
@Bandors they're separate models. The "GPT 5" button defaults to a 4o-like model that can route to a reasoning model, and the "GPT-5 Thinking" button forces it to always route to the reasoning model.
I accidentally became a top YES holder in this market because of unexpected resolution criteria. Now it looks like yet another unexpected resolution criterion will save the day, lol