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Which Trump opponents will face official DOJ investigations by October 1st, 2025?
22
Ṁ1.2kṀ7.4k
resolved Oct 3
Resolved
YES
Letitia James
Resolved
NO
Merrick Garland
Resolved
NO
Jack Smith
Resolved
NO
Alvin Bragg
Resolved
NO
Fani Willis
Resolved
NO
Hillary Clinton
Resolved
NO
Joe Biden
Resolved
NO
Kamala Harris
Resolved
NO
Hunter Biden
Resolved
NO
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Market resolves YES for each individual/entity that has an official DOJ investigation opened against them under a Trump administration. Resolution source: Official DOJ press releases and statements (justice.gov/news).

  • Update 2025-08-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only investigations opened by the Department of Justice (DOJ) count.

    • Investigations led by the Office of Special Counsel (OSC) are considered independent of DOJ and will not count.

    • Therefore, the current Jack Smith OSC investigation would resolve NO.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
US Democracy
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The current Jack Smith situation is weird but does not technically qualify because its not a DOJ investigation, its an OSC investigation, and the OSC is independent of the DOJ. There's absolutely no practical difference but the question wording would make it currently resolve NO.

@Balasar does this count? It seems so.

https://www.npr.org/2025/08/08/nx-s1-5496351/letitia-james-justice-department-subpoena-trump

@MachiNi yes

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Balasar Nice. Thanks.

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