Will multiple nuclear weapons be detonated during 2024? | Manifold

Will multiple nuclear weapons be detonated during 2024?

Plus

75

Ṁ8942

Jan 1

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Including tests and accidents. Multiple >1.

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Since the resolver is banned, will this market ever resolve?

yes I don't see a reason it shouldn't be. one of my fellow mods is supposedly taking over BTEs markets iirc

Closely related market on one or more detonations: https://manifold.markets/Pykess/will-a-nuclear-warhead-be-detonated?r=UHlrZXNz

I made that market before I saw this one.

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