Will qiaochu yuan win the Nobel prize in Peace or in literature?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ6122106
1.9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
50% chance
Will nobelprize.org list someone besides Machado under 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by EOY?
1% chance
Will José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente win the nobel prize in his lifetime?
3% chance
Will Kwon Young-Wan win a Nobel Prize?
3% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?
27% chance
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
8% chance
Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?
3% chance