Duplicate of:

https://manifold.markets/semver/will-elon-trump-have-a-major-fallin

but for all of 2025. Per the original market desc. :

To define falling out:

• A dismissal from any positions associated to the White House

• A public feud on any social media platform that results in a “block” of the other party by one of the other parties

• more than 3 credible news reports indicating Musk is less close with Trump; only 2 are needed if a pejorative nickname is given to Elon