What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?
What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?
13
1kṀ7832033
11k
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As reported here on Jan 1 2033:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Line,_Saudi_Arabia
If there is no population listed, or Wikipedia becomes defunct or unreliable, I will consider other sources for an accurate population count. The definition of population is the general definition for human cities, i.e. humans making their primary home within the structure (even if their place of work is not within the structure). If the structure is abandoned or destroyed before resolution such that no-one lives there, I will resolve to zero.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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