Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10
170Ṁ3552026
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia break up through 2025
1% chance
Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2025?
75% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
96% chance
Will russia have a new president by the end of 2025?
2% chance