When will North Korea conduct a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) test next?
Basic
5
Ṁ608Jan 1
12%
Apr 2024
15%
May 2024
15%
June 2024
15%
July 2024
15%
Aug 2024
15%
Sep 2024
15%
Resolves if credible media news reported such intercontinental ballistic missile test
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
ICYMI North Korea tested an IRBM on 1 April 2024. It was the reason the market moved but it has become evident that it wasnt an ICBM. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/01/world/asia/north-korea-irbm-missile-guam.html
Related questions
Related questions
Will North Korea successfully launch a satellite in 2024?
35% chance
Will North Korea test a nuclear weapon during 2024?
6% chance
If North Korea tests a nuclear weapon, how many will they test?
Will North Korea launch a missile through Japanese airspace by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2024?
6% chance
Will the next North Korean nuclear weapon test be on a sunny morning?
78% chance
Will North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025?
10% chance
Will North Korea engage in an active military conflict before 2026?
95% chance
Will a North Korean land on the Moon before the next American does?
3% chance
Will North Korea officially declare war on another country by the end of 2025?
4% chance