When will a major new policy on prediction markets be released by CFTC?
8
520Ṁ24122027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
Before the end of Jan 2025
6%
Before the end of Feb 2025
5%
Before the end of Mar 2025
59%
Before the end of Apr 2025
U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets (coindesk.com)
>>> Companies such as PredictIt and Kalshi would get "regulatory clarity" under rule in coming months, according to the chairman of the derivatives regulator.
I will use my judgement on what counts as major new policy. I would consider allowing any kind of political market on Kalshi a major new policy.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Wall St firm use prediction markets as an investment vehicle by July 14 2025
43% chance
Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?
33% chance
Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
16% chance
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
82% chance
Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?
50% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
61% chance
Will 60 Minutes release an episode featuring prediction markets?
20% chance
When will the CFTC take action against Polymarket?
When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
42% chance