MANIFOLD
What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?
39
Ṁ2.7kṀ5.1k
Dec 7
83%
A driver gets permanently replaced during the season
73%
Hamilton gets a podium finish
65%
Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3
63%
A driver misses a race due to health reasons
63%
A technical directive changes regulations to stop a dominant team or forces to change something important in the cars (e.g., flexible wings in 2025, Ferrari in 2022 with TD39)
61%
A team principle gets replaced during the season
60%
A driver at Red Bull Racing gets replaced during the season
59%
Fernando Alonso wins a race
59%
A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently
57%
No pit crew injuries during any race.
55%
Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen
53%
Max Verstappen wins the WDC
53%
Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.
51%
Bottas scores more points than Perez
47%
Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom
44%
WDC winner wins their first title
43%
Lewis Hamilton announces retirement
41%
WCC is won with 5 or more races to go
40%
Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race
38%
A driver gets a race ban due to penalty points

Market context
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Sports
Formula 1
Auto Racing
Motorsports
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@AlexanderTheGreater I made a separate market for Ferrari exact finishing position in the WCC: https://manifold.markets/BlitzEver/f1-2026-in-which-position-will-ferr?r=QmxpdHpFdmVy

bought Ṁ10 YES

There are 2 "Hamilton Podium". Is it intended to be this way?

@BlitzEver lol, no. Good catch. I resolved the one without trades as NA

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