Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) | Manifold

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

16

Ṁ1kṀ794

2100

74%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

The aggregate of 916 Metaculus community forecasters was Jan 17, 2027 on Aug 03, 2023.

Market context

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will we get AGI before 2035?

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2039?

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before 2037?

Will we get AGI before 2033?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will we get AGI before 2035?

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2039?

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before 2037?

Will we get AGI before 2033?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy