Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) | Manifold

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

10

Ṁ150Ṁ183

2100

38%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

The aggregate of 740 Metaculus community forecasters was Feb 14, 2033 on Aug 03, 2023.

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