Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire or other cessation of hostilities before the 100th day of Trump’s term?
29
100Ṁ1293May 1
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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