How many Statistics papers will be published to arXiv in April 2025?
5
125Ṁ146
May 1
543 papers
expected
89%
Above 500
63%
Above 550
52%
Above 600
19%
Above 650
16%
Above 700

This market will be resolved based on statistics published to https://arxiv.org/year/stat/2025. If arXiv is down, I'll check back a week after. If it remains down, this market resolves to N/A.

For clarity, if this market was about January 2025, it would have resolved YES for >=500 and >=550 as 562 was the number of articles.

Whether or not the statistics on arXiv are truly accurate, this market resolves to whatever is posted.

I'm betting in this market because it has a perfectly objective resolution criteria (numeric).

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