Will July 2025 be the hottest July ever? [NCEI]
18
Ṁ1kṀ15kresolved Aug 12
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will July 2025 have the highest global land and ocean average temperature anomaly according to the Global Time Series from the National Centers for Environmental Information?
The market will resolve once the data is released.
The closing and resolution date is subject to change should the National Centers for Environmental Information update the predicted date for the release of data. The predicted date can be found in the row labeled July in the Global table at this link.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ525 | |
| 2 | Ṁ396 | |
| 3 | Ṁ138 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ48 |
Sort by:
The global ocean-only surface temperature for July was the third-highest on record, at 0.92°C (1.66°F) above average. This was cooler than July 2023 (warmest) and July 2024.
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202507
@AaronSimansky