
Will we see most new language models shifting to addition-only architectures like BitNet/BitNet 1.58b in 2024?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ85resolved Dec 27
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ26 | |
| 2 | Ṁ22 |
People are also trading
Related questions
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
10% chance
Will AI (large language models) collapse by may 2026?
10% chance
Will we fully interpret a GPT-2 level language model by 2028?
14% chance
By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]
25% chance
Thinking Machine’s first LLM release date
Will there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
24% chance
Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?
83% chance
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2026?
82% chance
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?
68% chance
In 2030, will there be more than 10 $5bn companies that are some form of large language model focused on a specific task. ie not Microsoft, not OpenAI,
62% chance