Will it be confirmed that >2M doses of the R21 malaria vaccine are delivered in a single month before January 1st, 2025?
7
Ṁ275Ṁ526resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves upon data from the WHO, UNICEF, Gavi, or similarly respected institution that >2 million doses were delivered in a single month, or upon confirmed data from the same sources that fewer than 2 million doses were delivered in each month prior to January 1st, 2025. Resolves negatively if data cannot confirm whether or not >2M doses were delivered in a single month by the above date.
1Day Sooner has an R21 Status Report available here that may be useful.
More malaria-related questions can be found on our Manifold account here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ101 | |
| 2 | Ṁ12 | |
| 3 | Ṁ8 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6 |
People are also trading
Related questions
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028?
43% chance
Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?
61% chance
Will a third dengue vaccine be approved before 2050?
90% chance
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
24% chance
Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
38% chance
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?
72% chance
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against AIDS before 2028?
24% chance
HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?
37% chance