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Will the Chiefs score more than 30 points in a game this season?
22
Ṁ1kṀ16k
resolved Jan 27
Resolved
YES

  • This market includes both regular season and post season games.

  • All points scored in a game (the final score) count

  • YES: Over 30 points scored in a game

  • NO: 30 points or less scored in a game

Market context
Sports
Football
NFL
NFL Playoffs
Kansas City Chiefs
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Why is this at 70%?

They've gone 0-17 and average 22.6 PPG.

so best case they have a 25% (35% in win, 10% in loss) chance of scoring 30+

30% times 10%

30% times (100% - 65% x 90%)

40% times (100% - 65% x 65% x 75%)

= 3% + 12.45% + 12.675%

= 28%

@ChinmayTheMathGuy you should bet this down to 28!

bought Ṁ350 NO

@JoshuaWilkes playoffs Mahomes is different

bought Ṁ50 YES

@ChinmayTheMathGuy so you're saying that your earlier analysis doesn't apply?

Including post season?

@JoshuaWilkes Yes.

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