Will I win Masters this season?
➕
Plus
18
Ṁ3420
Jan 2
77%
chance

Resolves yes if I win Masters league season 20.

Have had a strong start from being online when Bitcoin hit $100k and providing liquidity in markets on the South Korea situation.

Unsure if I can maintain the pace. But I’m also very competitive and very online.

I won’t bet in this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 YES

Wait, based on the part of the description talking about providing liquidity, you can profit by doing that?

@Quroe yeah what I mean by that is buying yes from people who want to buy no, and buying no from those who want to buy yes at a higher price later

your trades cancel so you get your profits back quick, which can then be used elsewhere, rather than waiting til resolution

the most profitable way to do it is quickly correct “spikes” from big traders, and hope a spike in the other direction appears later. it may not - this is a risk (but eg in this market, you can see many spikes in each direction i corrected which was very profitable https://manifold.markets/Moscow25/will-yoon-suk-yeol-still-be-korean)

@summer_of_bliss Oh! I call that "boxing" a position, but I may be misusing the term.

@Quroe ah yeah probably many terms for it - just “buy low sell high” really

You enjoy your rank at @Ziddletwix ’s pleasure

2 traders bought Ṁ219 YES
bought Ṁ19 YES

bought Ṁ50 NO

I need to start tryharding again so I can catch up

@mods unrank plz

@summer_of_bliss Do you want this market unranked? It's currently set to ranked.

Also, I'm only half joking when I ask this:

Would you be willing to add the "#Jimmy Carter" tag to this market? There's a high correlation here. 😉

@Quroe haha carter dying would murder my portfolio but not my league profits though, most of my bets were placed before this season

and yep will get it unranked

@summer_of_bliss Wait, is that how that works? I thought league rankings would account for it still, even if it's an old bet.

Like, people who bet on the US election had league exposure on the results, right? Even if the bet was made months before?

If anybody wants to "arbitrage":

/JCDM/will-jimmy-carter-die-during-2024

@Quroe I thought it was only if the bet was placed in that month based on this text when click someone’s profile in league?

@summer_of_bliss I think you might be right. Today I learned.

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