MANIFOLD
Will >90% of Elon re/tweets/replies on 19 December 2025 be about AI risk?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ891
resolved Feb 5
Resolved
NO

If he’s as seriously worried as evidence from the last 10 years suggests, there will come a time where he’s spending ~all his time/resources on AI risk. Will we get some signal of this by 19 Dec 2025?

On 21 Dec 2025, I will go through all his X activity timestamped between 00:00 and 23:59 on 19 Dec (as per my device/timezone) and adjudicate whether or not this happened.

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