will Elon Musk/The Foundation have a university in Austin, Texas by the end of 2025?
will Elon Musk/The Foundation have a university in Austin, Texas by the end of 2025?
4
110Ṁ952026
20%
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according to news reports, Musk is making moves to establish a STEM-focused K-12 school in Austin. he also wants to open his own University to 'fight illiberalism' on US college campuses.
after his K-12 school opens:
when will he/The Foundation open a University?
similar to the first market above, resolves yes when the opening of a University is objectively on its way: it's legally established, a physical facility (or online curriculum if it's digital-only) exists, it has staff, and is accepting enrolment. school does not need to be in session yet for this market to resolve yes, but it needs to be clear that there aren't major regulatory or practical hurdles to this happening.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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