Polymarket notional volume lower on Jun 1 than Mar 20? // Polymarket's Brier score higher on Jun 1 than Mar 20?

Question

Volume data from https://dune.com/queries/5756284/9339737

Brier score data from https://brier.fyi

Polymarket introduced fees yesterday, that's why I'm curious

baseline brier (since brier.fyi doesn't log previous scores) is a midpoint of 0.1652 and a relative of -0.0047

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Volume higher // Brier score higher, followed by Volume lower // Brier score higher and Volume higher // Brier score lower are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Mar 24, 2026).

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