MANIFOLD
Will a shutdown during 2026 become the longest?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ70
Dec 31
26%
chance

Resolves YES if a federal government shutdown happens in 2026 and breaks the record for the longest shutdown (43 days)

If a shutdown doesn't happen in 2026, or if no shutdown in 2026 lasts over 43 days, this market will resolve NO

If a shutdown starts in 2026 but ends during a later year, this market will resolve depending on whether the record was broken in 2026

If a shutdown lasts exactly 43 days, this market will resolve 50%

Resolution will be determined based on credible sources

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy