If I apply for funding from the LTFF before 2028, will I get accepted?

Question

Resolves to whether the Long-Term Future Fund agrees to provide me funding of any size if I apply for funding before 2028. Resolves YES if LTFF agrees to fund me a bit after 2028/01/01 as long as I applied for funding before 2028.

Resolves N/A if I don’t do so before market close.

My application would very likely be related to AI safety.

Resolves N/A if I don’t do so before market close.

My application would very likely be related to AI safety.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 25% chance (3 traders, as of Jan 13, 2026).

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