MANIFOLD
Will there be an expert-player-beating AI (eg in a x-of-5 match beats Viper/Daut/Hera) in Age of Empires II (AoE2) by 2025?
19
Ṁ1kṀ6.2k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ228
2Ṁ205
3Ṁ121
4Ṁ41
5Ṁ34
Sort by:
bought Ṁ903 NO

@mods I found no such match or AI. Could you please resolve?

@adonisds I follow the aoe2 scene and can confirm I am not aware of any such AI or match (I have a position here so will wait for another mod to resolve)

@Ziddletwix Sorry to bring this up, but is it fair for you to buy a position here only after you were notified that we're past resolution date because you're a mod?

Other users don't get notified of opportunities to predict the past to get free mana, we have to dig

Related market:

So there likely could be if a company devoted resources (given the history with Deepmind / Starcraft). But given the feat has already been accomplished in SC, the incentive for a company to devote resources here seems minimal.

I think there are 2 cases for a "Yes" outcome:
1. MSFT is testing gaming AIs and wants to train one on one of their games (i.e., AoE). But why not use AoE IV instead?
2. Technology develops such that individuals / small groups can train gaming AIs enough to beat a human on AoE II...that seems somewhat aggressive? And I'm not sure to what extent you need cooperation with the developer to develop this AI?

Also #TrebuchetGang

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy