Will Peter Thiel's Horvath DNAm age be higher than his chronological age?
Will Peter Thiel's Horvath DNAm age be higher than his chronological age?
3
110Ṁ612055
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Sam Altman's Horvath DNAm age be lower than his chronological age?
55% chance
Will Elon Musk have a Horvath DNAm age higher than his chronological age?
41% chance
Will Vitalik Buterin have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?
70% chance
Will Michael Nielsen have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?
57% chance
Will Rochelle Shen have a DNAm Horvath age more than +0.5SD below that of her chronological age?
52% chance
Will Lada Nuzhna have a Horvath DNAm age lower than her biological age?
55% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?
59% chance
Will Bryan Johnson's HRSInChPhenoAge be older than his DNAm PhenoAge in 2024?
50% chance
Will Peter Thiel show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2025?
99% chance
Will Peter Thiel be diagnosed with plasticosis by EOY2039?
20% chance