Will Jose Luis Ricon get an organism (like a protist) scientifically named after him in its scientific name by 2035?
Will Jose Luis Ricon get an organism (like a protist) scientifically named after him in its scientific name by 2035?
1
70Ṁ102036
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will an organism's scientific name be named after Jose Luis ricon by 2035?
41% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!!) OR Alexey Guzey OR Isaak Freeman get his OWN PRIVATE ISLAND by EOY 2080?
34% chance
Will an element of the periodic table (Riconium) be named after Jose Luis Ricon (JLR)?
1% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon have his own cult by eoy2025
11% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon be diagnosed with Plasticosis by EOY 2040?
50% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!!) OR Isaak Freeman get a mathematical theorem named after him by EOY2050?
50% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon ever get dysentery by 2050?
30% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon have babby (#RiconBabby) by EOY 2025?
15% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon still be at retro.bio by the end of 2024?
91% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon live for over 200 years?
12% chance