When will OpenAI release their next open-weight LLM model?
3
Ṁ275Ṁ450resolved Dec 14
Resolved
August-December 20251H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%88%
August-December 2025
1.3%
January-April 2026
1.4%
May-August 2026
1.4%
September-December 2026
1.4%
January-June 2027
1.4%
July-December 2027
1.4%
January-June 2028
1.4%
July-December 2028
1.4%
2029
0.8%
2030 or Later (Never)
Resolves to the UTC calendar date when OpenAI next publishes an open‑weight LLM model(chattable language model, with instruction tuning, with or without multimodal), after the release of gpt-oss-20b and gpt-oss-120b on 2025.8.5.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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