Who will be the Democratic candidate in Washington's gubernatorial general election in 2024?
2
225Ṁ367
Aug 6
77%
Bob Ferguson
12%
Hilary Franz
4%
EL'ona Kearney
4%
Mark Mullet
3%Other

This market resolves to the candidate who represents the Democratic Party in the gubernatorial general election in Washington state in 2024.

Because Washington uses a top-two primary, there's not really a "Democratic primary" to win. There are three potential outcomes:

  • The winners of the top-two primary are a Democrat and a member of another party: Resolves to the Democrat in question.

  • The winners of the top-two primary are both Democrats: Resolves 50% to both Democrats in question.

  • Neither winner of the top-two primary is a Democrat: Resolves to "None (see description)."

I will add more candidates as options to this market when I am made aware that they are running.

This market closes on August 5, 2024, one day before the 2024 primaries in Washington state. If Washington changes the date on which its primaries are held, this market's close date will update to reflect that.

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Relevant update: Bob Ferguson has endorsements from basically everyone - WA's Democratic House members, some former governors, most of the state's legislators...

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